Reduce Health Costs By Nurturing The Sickest? A Much-Touted Idea Disappoints

Improving health and lowering costs for the sickest and most expensive patients in America is a dream harder to realize than many health care leaders had hoped, according to by the New England Journal of Medicine.
Researchers tested whether pairing frequently hospitalized patients in Camden, New Jersey, with nurses and social workers could stop that costly cycle of readmissions. The study found no effect: Patients receiving extra support were just as likely to return to the hospital within 180 days as those not receiving that help.
The results are a blow to , the organization he founded nearly 20 years ago.
âItâs my lifeâs work. So, of course, youâre upset and sad,â said Brenner, who now does similar work with health insurance giant UnitedHealthcare.
The model of care, pioneered in part by Brenner and profiled in a widely read 2011 article in The New Yorker, has inspired dozens of similar projects across the country and attracted millions in philanthropic funding.
âThis is the messy thing about science,â said Brenner, who won a MacArthur Foundation âGenius Grantâ for his efforts. âSometimes things work the way you want them to do work and sometimes they donât.â
The Hope
Many hospital and insurance executives have pinned their hopes on this work because it promised to solve a common problem: when patients lives are so complicated by social factors like poverty and addiction that their manageable medical conditions, like diabetes and asthma, lead to expensive, recurring hospital stays.
Writer and physician Atul Gawande introduced Brenner as a brash visionary crusading on behalf of the âworst-of-the-worst patientsâ in the New Yorker piece, .â (Gawande, who now , a joint venture of Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway and JPMorgan Chase, declined to be interviewed for this article.)
Brennerâs prescription: Pair these people with front-line care workers who would shepherd them to the social and medical services they needed. Early evidence was promising, the anecdotes inspiring. Brenner boiled the modelâs potential down to four words and two tantalizing goals: better care, lower costs.
As word spread, breathless headlines popped up like ââ and ââ
âLots of organizations make claims that their programs work and theyâve never been rigorously tested,â Brenner said.
Instead, Brenner took the unusual step of inviting the scrutiny of respected researchers.
In 2014, Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Amy Finkelstein began a randomized controlled trial, the same rigorous method used to evaluate new drugs. Over four years, the coalition enrolled 800 patients, all who had been recently hospitalized and struggled with social problems. Half received the usual care patients get when leaving the hospital. The other half got about 90 days of intensive social and medical assistance from the coalition.
And the result: The 400 patients who received the intensive help were just as likely to return to the hospital as the patients who didnât. In both groups, nearly two-thirds of people were readmitted within 180 days.
So why did the coalition fail? Why did the savings touted in their early data, which Gawande had declared ârevolutionaryâ in The New Yorker nearly a decade ago, disappear when put to this rigorous test?
Larry Moore is doing well today, but his story illustrates how difficult it is to take care of people with complex social and medical problems.(Courtesy of Brian Thompson/Camden Coalition)
âMy Daily Routineâ
Larry Moore, who has hypertension, alcohol addiction, chronic seizures and difficulty walking, was one of the first people to enroll in the coalitionâs trial.
Mooreâs experience serves as a road map for understanding why the coalition missed its mark.
His first months were promising: prescriptions filled, medical appointments attended, Social Security benefits claim in process. The 47-year-old even started to trust the team with the details of his deep-seated addiction, confiding how he would consume mouthwash, vanilla extract and even hand sanitizer at times.
âYou couldnât keep anything with alcohol in itâ around him, Moore recalled. âThatâs addiction.â
But all the progress suddenly stopped when Moore seemed to disappear from the coalitionâs radar.
âWe didnât see Mr. Moore after November,â said nurse Jeneen Skinner. âWe went to the house. We sent text messages. We [made] phone calls.â
The coalition has learned that for people living in poverty and with poor health, a small hiccup â in Mooreâs case, a missed rent payment â can spiral into a major setback.
Moore spent the next 2œ years mostly homeless, completely out of touch with the coalition.
âI was going from place to place. I sleep on a bench or a rock until the next day when the liquor store opens,â remembered Moore. âThat was my daily routine.â
Seventy emergency room visits and six hospital admissions later, Skinner reconnected with Moore.
He told her the one thing that would keep him out of the hospital: housing.
The âCamden Coalitionâ
Too many times, during the trial, people ended up back in the hospital despite the intervention. But the coalition is convinced it didnât fail as much as the larger social safety net did.
âThe bottom line is, we built a brilliant intervention to navigate people to nowhere,â said Brenner.
Coalition staff and their patients usually knew what was needed â evidence-based addiction treatment, housing, mental health services â but resources were often in short supply.
Over the past three years, the coalition set out to fill in those gaps, undergoing a kind of metamorphosis.
âWe think of ourselves now as the Camden Coalitionâ steering away from the âhealth care providersâ part of the name, said Kathleen Noonan, who succeeded Brenner as head of the organization.
It has forged partnerships with jails, lawyers and legislators, and started its own housing program. Many of these efforts began as the clinical trial was ongoing â a sign the coalition had seen the writing on the wall.
The Camden Coalition helped Moore get an apartment. (Dan Gorenstein/Tradeoffs)
Moore says it took him a month to sleep in his bed, after years of intermittent homelessness.(Dan Gorenstein/Tradeoffs)
âI Kid You Notâ
âI would have never imagined this,â said Moore, sweeping his arm around his one-bedroom apartment.
A green houseplant sits in the sunshine. A fluorescent-colored stuffed animal decorates the bed.
âWhen I first moved in here,â Moore explained, âit took me about a month to even sleep in my bed. I slept on a couch.â
Housing made it easier to face his other problem, choosing to try the drug naltrexone, a long-acting injection to treat alcohol addiction.
Moore is nearly two years sober today. He meets with a coalition support group on Wednesdays. Heâs becoming a deacon at his church. In the 22 months he has lived in the apartment, Mooreâs trips to the hospital have plummeted: just one admission and one ER visit.
âI kid you not, when I saw Mr. Moore probably a month ago, I was standing next to him and did not recognize him,â said nurse Skinner. âHe looked at me, and said, âJeneen, itâs me. And I was like, âMy God, you look amazing!ââ
Larry Mooreâs story is just that: one story.
Yet it represents a larger trend. Insurers â including UnitedHealthcare under Brennerâs direction â hospitals and many state Medicaid agencies have begun spending millions to meet patientsâ social needs.
The new study, though, backs up the skepticism of other researchers that, when it comes to saving money at least, these approaches donât work well. For one, programs are expensive and hard to scale. The coalitionâs housing effort currently serves only 50 people and costs about $14,000 per person per year. Secondly, the data is lacking, cautioned Boston University economist Austin Frakt. âDespite what people would like to believe, thereâs not a lot of evidence you can reduce health spending by spending more in other areas.â
Finkelstein said that as health care companies move further beyond the four walls of a hospital, the need for rigorous evaluation grows. âI think a lot of well-intentioned people in health care canât handle the truth,â she said. âTheyâre trying to do good, but they donât have the courage to say, âLetâs do a gut check on ourselves.ââ
Dan Gorenstein is the creator and co-host of podcast and Leslie Walker is a producer on the show, which features the study on the Camden Coalition in episode 7.