COVID-19

Analysis: We Knew The Coronavirus Was Coming, Yet We Failed 5 Critical Tests

(Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

The arrival of COVID-19 has provided a nuclear-level stress test to the American health care system, and our grade isnt pretty: at least 73,000 dead, 1.2 million infected and unemployed; nursing homes, prisons and meatpacking plants that have become. The actual numbers are certainly far higher, since there still hasnt been enough testing to identify all those who have died or have been infected.

By all accounts, a number of other countries have responded and fared far better.

In some ways, COVID-19 seemed the biological equivalent of 9/11 unthinkable until it happened. Who would have thought individuals would fly jets filled with people into skyscrapers filled with workers? Likewise, who would have predicted the onslaught of a new virus that was stealthy, easily transmissible and also often perilous?

Actually, many public health specialists,, did. And yet, our system failed in its response. Heroic health care providers were left to jury-rig last-minute solutions to ensure that the toll wasnt even worse.

But the saddest part is that most of the failings and vulnerabilities that the pandemic has revealed were predictable a direct outgrowth of the kind of market-based system that Americans generally rely on for health care.

Our system requires every player from insurers to hospitals to the pharmaceutical industry to doctors be financially self-sustaining, to have a profitable business model. As such, it excels at expensive specialty care. But theres no return on investment in being primed and positioned for the possibility of a once-in-a-lifetime pandemic.

Combine that with an administration unwilling to intervene to force businesses to act en masse to resolve a public health crisis like this, and you get what we got: a messy, uncoordinated under-response, defined by shortages and finger-pointing.

No institutional players not hospitals, not manufacturers of ventilators, masks, tests or drugs saw it as their place to address the COVID-19 train coming down the tracks. Meanwhile, the Trump administration, the Defense Production Act, did so only sparingly and slowly, mostly relying on backchannel arm-twisting and incentives like forgiving liability to get business buy-in. Thats because, in the current iteration of American health care, tens of thousands of people dying is not incentive enough.

Lets look at the failures.

1. Ventilators. As images of overwhelmed Italian hospitals flashed across screens, American hospitals projected they might not have enough ventilators for their mounting caseload. They turned to government, which didnt have enough either. President Donald Trump castigated the states and .

But, operated as businesses, hospitals have zero incentive to stockpile. Like hotels, they aim to keep their beds full, or nearly so, with well-paying customers, such as those in need of artificial-joint or heart procedures. Supply-chain management dictates they stock for those needs. A vast storeroom in the basement filled with ventilators that might be needed once in a generation or never?

Long ago, before hospitals had lucrative revenue streams from billing and insurance, they relied on philanthropy to meet urgent health needs. The March of Dimes helped finance and the development of improved iron lungs. Today, hospitals instead solicit donations for more glamorous projects cancer centers, new wings, genomics research with donors names affixed.

Indeed, in , an official with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warned that the country needed a better strategy for stockpiling ventilators, highlighting a practical problem: Hospitals must accept responsibility for the costs and resources needed to manage and maintain an excess of ventilators that are likely to be unused in the absence of pandemic-related surges in demand.

They are unlikely to do so unless government requires them. Weve long required ocean liners to have lifeboats and life preservers even though their operators hope to never hit an iceberg.

2. Testing has proved the persistent Achilles heel in the U.S. response. Even in hot zones, because of a shortage of tests, they were often rationed to the very ill or essential workers. That makes it difficult to guide treatment and nearly impossible to reopen society. In January, fearing that the virus would hit the United States, researchers at university labs notably the University of Washington jumped in and developed a test. But the commercial and hospital labs that deal with the actual bloodwork and viral analysis in this country did not. Why would they? There was no market.

At that time, it wasnt clear that the coronavirus would produce a pandemic, and there was no billing code for a test and no sense of the price it could garner. With requirements for Food and Drug Administration approval expensive and cumbersome, developing a test was a business non-starter. Indeed, months later, after the billing code was created and the Medicare price was set at $51, labs complained that it didnt cover costs and wasnt attractive enough to motivate adequate response. The price was doubled. (Even that most likely seemed somewhat paltry for labs that often charge $200 for basic blood tests.)

倏紳泭, the Trump administration set aside the FDA approval requirement, bringing a host of new players into the fray. But in our market-driven, decentralized system its every provider for himself, and there is no efficient way to connect the new supply with demand. Despite the fact that the , by mid-April newly able labs were taking to Twitter to plead for business, like in Ann Arbor, Michigan: We have restructured our lab to help with testing. The problem has become finding samples! Cant get in touch w/ anyone who needs us.

In contrast, South Korea, with its national health system,in January, promising them quick approval for a coronavirus test and the widespread use of it in nationally organized and financed testing. With a guaranteed market, within weeks, allowing the country to avert a shutdown. The federal government or the CDC might have played that role in the United States, but did not.

3. Testing components and PPE. The Trump administration insists that there are plenty of tests that states are not using. do nearly enough tests and need help. Thats partly because conducting tests involves access to a number of components kits, chemical reagents, swabs, personal protective equipment, known as PPE, and sometimes custom cartridges for machines. Miss any one of those things and testing becomes impossible. Its like trying to make bread with all the ingredients except yeast.

Just as we patients pay item by item the blood test, the X-ray, the acetaminophen pill hospitals and doctors offices also order item by item, with different sources for each component, as they search for the best deals. And medical manufacturers, which make dozens of products some very profitable and some not have no incentive to produce low-margin items in excess of usual needs. In recent years, this has increasingly led to intermittent shortages during which hospitals find themselves competing to procure, cheap old. So it is no surprise that a similar phenomenon is handicapping a coronavirus response that has required a huge increase in simple accessories like masks.

The private sector can directly purchase personal protective equipment from manufacturers and distributors, as they normally do, a press officer for the Federal Emergency Management Agencysaid in late March, explaining why the president chose not to use the Defense Production Act even as states like New York were begging for help, facing over 5,000 new cases anda day.

Initially they could not find enough of that equipment, and when they did, it came at a price as market forces would dictate: When demand for the items exceeded supply, prices rose and bidding wars began. In our market, you get companies to ramp up production of low-margin items by offering ever higher prices.Without a national system for such purchases in a crisis, we are essentially forcing hospitals and states to negotiate the price of water during a drought. (Alternatively, we could require all hospitals to have aof essential response items on hand, as Gov. Andrew Cuomo of New York has now done.)

4. Hospitals did not coordinate. Early on, New Yorks elite hospitals staring down a crisis themselves did not jump in to set up outpatient testing centers. That task was left largely to the public hospitals, resulting in crowded lines, which may have risked more infection spread. The elite hospitals also generally did not share precious protective gear with those harder hit.

In our market-based system, hospitals are primed to compete, not coordinate. They compete for patients who need lucrative procedures and for ratings in magazines like U.S. News & World Report. While legally they have to treat anyone who turns up in the emergency room, they are not eager to treat infectious diseases like COVID-19, which disproportionately hits people with poor insurance and carries a stigma. No. 1 in COVID-19 Treatment! is bad for the brand. The lack of coordination likewise meant that in California, one hospital had the beds and protective equipment to continue doing elective procedures, while another 75 miles away was overwhelmed by COVID-19. In a national or nationally coordinated health system they would have been obligated to help each other.

5. The hospital rescue. Hospitals will receive tens of billions of dollars as part of coronavirus relief packages passed since late March. This is partly because they have delivered extraordinary treatment of COVID-19 (which doesnt pay well) but also because theyve had to cancel high-profit procedures like joint replacements and sophisticated scans to make room for this low-profit-margin illness.

In the past quarter-century, we have evolved a reimbursement system that showers cash on elective and specialty care and discourages hospitals from serving the health needs of society. That is true even though two-thirds of our hospitals are tax-exempt because they in theory perform community benefit. In a functioning health system, pandemic preparedness and response would be part of the expected job. In the 1980s when HIV/AIDS was , treating those patients was simply part of each systems obligation though some did so far better than others.

All this doesnt necessarily mean that we need a government-run health system or should eliminate all market influence in health care. In fact, “Medicare for All” would not by itself solve the above problems, since its mostly a payment system that largely relies on providers to come through with services when needed.

But the COVID-19 stress test has laid bare a market that is broken, lacking the ability to attend to the public health at a time of desperate need and with a government unwilling in some ways unable to force it to do so. This time around, thousands of medical professionals have stoically answered the call to treat the ill, doing their best to plug the long-standing holes and vulnerabilities that the pandemic has revealed.

Whether regulated or run by the government, or motivated by new incentives, we need a system that responds more to illness and less to profits.

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Public HealthCDCCovidTrump Administration

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